Blog

Month: February 2017

“We have met the enemy and he is us.” – Walt Kelly We have entered a dangerous time in history.  A time when the truth changes every day. The amount of misinformation being spread daily is nothing short of remarkable.  It seems like everything is “fake news” now independent of who is reporting it.  Rather […]

Optical Illusions

In August 1987, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. In July 1998, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. In January 2000, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. In October 2007, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. The Nasdaq 100 is extremely overbought today. Sell everything? If only it were that simple. When looking at the […]

What Happens When Others Are Greedy?

The stock market may be the only market in the world where buyers run away from sales. As prices fall, the news is bad, fear takes over, and investors are more inclined to sell than buy. As prices rises, the news is good, greed takes over, and investors are happy to buy. One of the more fascinating […]

“The bravest are surely those who have the clearest vision of what is before them, glory and danger alike, and yet notwithstanding, go out to meet it.” – Thucydides Welcome to the Great Tranquility ladies and gentlemen.  Now start getting very afraid. As Charlie Bilello (Twitter: @CharlieBilello) noted recently, the S&P 500 hasn’t had a […]

Momentum in Name Only

“The premier anomaly is momentum.” – Eugene Fama and Kenneth French There is momentum in theory and there is momentum in practice. Momentum in theory is the premier market anomaly. Momentum in practice is a bit more complicated. What is the look-back period (3 months, 6 months, 12 months, etc.)? What is the rebalance frequency […]