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Category: Equities

Optical Illusions

In August 1987, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. In July 1998, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. In January 2000, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. In October 2007, the Nasdaq 100 was extremely overbought. The Nasdaq 100 is extremely overbought today. Sell everything? If only it were that simple. When looking at the […]

What Happens When Others Are Greedy?

The stock market may be the only market in the world where buyers run away from sales. As prices fall, the news is bad, fear takes over, and investors are more inclined to sell than buy. As prices rises, the news is good, greed takes over, and investors are happy to buy. One of the more fascinating […]

Volatility and Mean Reversion

“Don’t confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.” – Nassim Taleb Volatility is low. How low? Over the past month, the Dow Jones Industrials Average has traded in a range (from high to low) of 1.4%. Going back to 1970, that’s the least volatile period in history. At 2.2%, the same range for the S&P […]

“Populist promises to reverse every tough decision are nothing but empty rhetoric, irresponsible leadership, and bad politics. They are not the solution to Ireland’s problems.” – Enda Kenny Never have I ever seen so much conviction over how the future will play out under President-elect Trump (“massive bull market ahead!”). Well, actually that’s not true. […]

For the fifth consecutive year, responsible financial advisors all across the country are apologizing to their clients. Why? Because the diversified portfolios they have built are lagging the S&P 500 … for the fifth consecutive year. Any way you slice it (from conservative to aggressive), diversification has failed to keep pace with the S&P 500, […]