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Category: Gold

Gold Bugs vs. Stock Market Bulls

Which is the better investment: Gold or Stocks? It’s a battle as old as markets. Gold Bugs and Stock Market Bulls are equally fervent about their investment of choice, often with complete disdain for the other side. The story (since the gold standard was completely abandoned in 1971) goes something like this… 1972-1980 Gold Return: […]

We often hear that Gold prices are driven by real interest rates. Rising real interest rates are said to be bad for Gold because it increases the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal. This makes sense intuitively as Gold pays no interest or dividend, and will therefore be less attractive as compared to risk-free […]

2017: The Year in Charts

These are the charts and themes that tell the story of 2017… I. The Year Volatility Died There’s an old saying that goes something like this: “the market has a tendency to move in a fashion that inflicts the most pain on the most participants.” After the election in November 2016, the most prominent market […]

Is Gold Really the Best Inflation Hedge?

“Gold is the best hedge against inflation.” – Pundit There’s not a week that goes by where we don’t hear one pundit or another promoting Gold as a valiant protector against inflation… Inflation is coming, we are told, and when it does you better own Gold. Sounds wonderful in theory, but what does the evidence […]

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Stop Searching for the Holy Grail

  • Gold
  • Charlie Bilello

In a recent post, I came to the following conclusion: “the notion that simply ‘following the trend’ in Gold will lead to vast riches is a false one.” I made this statement after analyzing a simple trend following system (going back to 1975), using the 200-day moving average as a signal of when to get […]

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